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U.S. Customers Unsurprisingly Delaying New iPhone Purchases as iPhone 6 Launch Nears

A study from Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster unsurprisingly shows that interest in the iPhone is waning as the current lineup ages and users are increasingly looking toward an expected fall launch for the iPhone 6. The survey asked 1,016 U.S. consumers about their plans to buy a new smartphone in the next three months.

munster-iphone-survey-may-2014
According to Munster, only 34 percent of surveyed consumers plan to buy an iPhone in the coming months, down from the 50 percent reported shortly after the iPhone 5s and iPhone 5c launch in September of last year. While interest in the iPhone wanes, consumer attention towards Android has increased as the balance shifts toward the newest handsets. Leading Android vendor Samsung introduced its latest flagship Galaxy S5 handset in February ahead of a launch last month.

This declining interest in the iPhone is not surprising, given the cyclic nature of product launches. With the iPhone midway in its product cycle, consumers may be delaying their purchase of a new iPhone due to rumors that suggest Apple's iPhone 6 is likely to arrive this fall. The effect of rumors on a consumer's purchasing decision is nothing new -- Apple CFO Peter Oppenheimer blamed rumors for declining iPhone sales in the months preceding the launch of the iPhone 4S. The iPhone 6 also appears set to bring a larger than normal upgrade spike as the device moves to a significantly larger display.

Even with U.S. customers delaying their purchases, Piper Jaffray still sees reason for optimism with continued strong international sales and even U.S. planned purchase rates remaining as high as 34 percent.
The Mar-14 quarter showed 17% y/y iPhone growth, which was significantly ahead of Street expectations for low single digit y/y growth. We believe that the iPhone showed significant strength in overseas markets, in addition to the China Mobile launch, that enabled it to grow meaningfully higher than expectations. While our survey is US focused, we believe the data suggests that the iPhone, particularly the highest-end 5S model, continues to have staying power given about a third of US smartphone consumers expect to purchase an iPhone in the next three months. We view the stronger March quarter in addition to our survey as an indication that iPhone can remain healthy into the iPhone 6 upgrade in September.
Apple's next-generation iPhone is expected to launch this fall with a 4.7-inch display, a faster A8 processor, and an upgraded rear-facing camera with image stabilization. It may also feature a thinner profile with a new power button layout and elongated buttons to accommodate the changes in form factor. An even larger 5.5-inch model may also be in the works, although it could launch several months later than the 4.7-inch version.

Related roundups: iPhone 5c, iPhone 5s, iPhone 6

Top Rated Comments

(View all)

9 weeks ago
Or because the phone still isn't capable of sending text messages.
A very basic feature for a phone.
Rating: 10 Votes
9 weeks ago

Or because the phone still isn't capable of sending text messages.
A very basic feature for a phone.


huh?
Rating: 9 Votes
9 weeks ago
Apple's roadmap is so preditable that at this point even my dog knows that the iPhone 6 is going to be released in September. Given that Apple does not lower the prices of existing products, it is unsurprising that people are waiting for the iPhone 6 and pay the very same price that they would pay now for the iPhone 5s.
Rating: 8 Votes
9 weeks ago

4.7" is 2012 news, give me 5.5"


And 6.5" phone next year?
And 7.5" two years later?
And 8.5" phone after that?
Rating: 6 Votes
9 weeks ago

Think it's a reference to the iMessage Android problem.


Is it an "iMessage Android" problem? Or an "iMessage non-iPhone" problem?
Rating: 4 Votes
9 weeks ago
I do think that if at all possible, Apple has to think about moving to a twice a year roll out of phones. that would smooth out the demand curve a bit IMO.
Rating: 4 Votes
9 weeks ago

Or because the phone still isn't capable of sending text messages.
A very basic feature for a phone.


Sir, I believe what you're holding is a carrot.
Rating: 4 Votes
9 weeks ago

Why are these figures adding up to 100%?

It makes no sense to me that as iPhone % drops, android should increase and other should fill the gap to reach 100%.

Unless I am missing smth fundamental, these numbers seem seriously flawed.

What?

10 phones are sold
4 iPhone -> 40%
6 Android -> 60%

iPhone demand is weak because new iPhone is imminent. Now:

8 phones are sold
2 iPhone --> 25%
6 Android --> 75%

Android share increases even though the absolute number of sold devices is steady.
Rating: 3 Votes
9 weeks ago
4.7" is 2012 news, give me 5.5"
Rating: 3 Votes
9 weeks ago
In other news, WATER IS WET.
Rating: 3 Votes

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