Upcoming 15-inch MacBook Air Again Rumored to Feature M2 Chip - MacRumors
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Upcoming 15-inch MacBook Air Again Rumored to Feature M2 Chip

The forthcoming 15-inch MacBook Air will indeed be equipped with an M2 chip, not the M3 that Apple originally planned, claims news aggregator account "yeux1122" on the Korean Naver blog.

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According to the blog's Taiwanese supply chain source, Apple's decision to use an M2 chip was not down to production issues at chipmaker TSMC, but was due to a combination of factors, including market conditions and inventory adjustment.

A previous report out of Korea earlier this month claimed that Apple temporarily halted production of its M2 series chips at the start of 2023 following a pronounced slump in global demand for MacBooks.

The suspension is said to have continued through February, after which production of M2 series chips resumed, but they were "only half the level of the previous year," said the Korean-language report at the time, quoting a person familiar with the matter.

Last week, an unreleased 15-inch MacBook Air with a processor "on par" with the M2 chip was spotted in App Store developer logs. The MacBook Air configuration had an 8-core CPU and 10-core GPU, just like the M2 chip, along with 8GB of RAM. The new Air was also listed with a display resolution equal to that of the 14-inch MacBook Pro.

It's unclear exactly when the 15-inch MacBook Air will be released, but it will likely be announced by WWDC, which begins June 5. The existing 13-inch MacBook Air with the M2 chip launched in July 2022 after being announced at WWDC a month earlier.

The release of an M3-powered Mac is expected to come at a later date, and will represent a transition to a 3-nanometer production process from the current 5-nanometer standard. The 3nm process, which is also being used in this year's iPhone 15 series, allows for significantly improved performance and more efficiency.

Related Roundup: MacBook Air
Tag: Naver
Buyer's Guide: MacBook Air (Buy Now)
Related Forum: MacBook Air

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Top Rated Comments

Aluminum213 Avatar
40 months ago

They should just wait for the M3 at this point
Might as well wait for the M4 at this point
Score: 16 Votes (Like | Disagree)
russell_314 Avatar
40 months ago

I hope 15” MBA would at least come with a fan this time around. I’d feel more at ease as I’m still not a fan of fanless MBA (no pun intended ;) ).
That’s my favorite part of my M2 MacBook Air. I don’t have to worry about vents or fan noise. I know it’s hard for people coming from Intel where they’re used to having a jet turbine cooling the processor.
Score: 15 Votes (Like | Disagree)
russell_314 Avatar
40 months ago
Of course it’s going to come with M2 if it comes out this year. M3 is likely going to be late 2024.

Most people buying this are not going to care. I don’t think anyone here could tell the difference between M1 and M2 without some type of benchmark method. It’s not something that’s going to make a difference to people using a MacBook Air.

Perhaps tech nerds won’t have bragging rights to tell their friends they have M3 in their laptop but maybe they can wait till it comes out 🤷‍♂️
Score: 15 Votes (Like | Disagree)
contacos Avatar
40 months ago
Still starting at 8GB of ram? 🙃 soon our phone will have more than a Mac laptop
Score: 14 Votes (Like | Disagree)
azentropy Avatar
40 months ago

You can get up to 24 GB if you need it. Not everybody needs that much.
Sure not everyone needs that much, but you shouldn't have to BTO to get more than 8GB of RAM anymore. At this point they should offer a 16GB pre-built configuration that retailers can carry.
Score: 12 Votes (Like | Disagree)
40 months ago
3nm Speculation:

* TSMC started 3nm volume production on December 29th, 2022. [Offical source straight from TSMC. ('https://pr.tsmc.com/english/news/2986')]
* Apple is the only 3nm customer right now. [Many rumors]
* TSMC is reportedly producing as many as 45,000 3nm wafers per month [Digitimes report] ('https://www.macrumors.com/2023/02/22/apple-secures-tsmc-3nm-chips/')
* 45,000 wafers can produce 9.5 million M3 chips assuming ~60% defect rate [my own math]
* Thus far, if Apple started producing 3nm chips back in December 29th, they would have ~20-30 million M3 chips in stock, assuming a ramp up to 45,000 wafers/month [my back of the napkin math].
* Apple sells about 7.5 million Macs per quarter [IDC report]
* 30 million M3 chips could supply Apple with enough Mac M3 chips for an entire year already. [my own math]

So if Apple isn't releasing M3 with MBA 15" at WWDC, what were they doing with all the 3nm wafers since December 29th?

Who is wrong here?

Why Apple would want to release M3 at WWDC 2023 speculation:

* It's already been one year since M2.
* M2 itself was late because it had to wait for the redesigned MBA [many reports/rumors].
* M2 used A15 cores (iPhone 13). It's unlikely that M3 will use A16 cores (iPhone 14) because A16 is not a 3nm design. It's still a 5nm family design.
* Thus, M3 has to be using A17 design and using 3nm. See above on what Apple has been doing with all the 3nm wafers. [Read discussion ('https://forums.macrumors.com/threads/could-we-see-m3-before-a17.2382874/')on why M3 could come out before A17]
* Because Apple skipped using A16, they would have had more time to produce an M series using A17.
* Apple would want to make a splash by introducing a new Macbook with a new SoC. They seem to want this based on recent history.
* An Apple executive was quoted as saying that they want to release a big upgrade for M series every year. [See quote below, source ('https://techcrunch.com/2023/02/06/apple-execs-on-m2-chips-winning-gamers-and-when-to-buy-a-mac/')]


“The M2 family was really now about maintaining that leadership position by pushing, again, to the limits of technology. We don’t leave things on the table,” says Millet. “We don’t take a 20% bump and figure out how to spread it over three years…figure out how to eke out incremental gains. We take it all in one year; we just hit it really hard. That’s not what happens in the rest of the industry or historically.”
* Marc Gurman doesn't think it's M3 because the developer logs had an 8-core CPU/ 10-core GPU. This is weird speculation because it makes more sense for M3 to have the exact same number of cores as M2. A tik-tok model makes more sense.

M1: New node, new architecture
M2: More cores
M3: New node, new architecture
M4: More cores
M5: New node, new architecture
M6: More cores
Score: 10 Votes (Like | Disagree)