Ming-Chi Kuo Says Coronavirus Outbreak Impacting iPhone Supply, Lowers Shipment Forecast - MacRumors
Skip to Content

Ming-Chi Kuo Says Coronavirus Outbreak Impacting iPhone Supply, Lowers Shipment Forecast

Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo has lowered his iPhone shipment forecast by 10 percent to 36-40 million units in the first quarter of 2020, noting that the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak is affecting iPhone supply in China.

For example, multiple reports have indicated that assembly of the rumored "iPhone 9" or "iPhone SE 2" could be disrupted. The lower-cost device, expected to be a revamped version of the iPhone 8, was rumored to enter mass production in February ahead of a March release. Apple could still announce the device in March, but initial supply could be limited until production can ramp up.

iphone11proguide b
In his research note with TF International Securities, seen by MacRumors, Kuo added that smartphone shipments in the Chinese market declined by 50-60 percent year-over-year during the Chinese New Year holiday period, possibly due to declining consumer confidence in the country stemming from the coronavirus outbreak.

Out of an abundance of caution, Apple said it has closed all of its corporate offices, stores, and contact centers in mainland China through at least February 9 due to the coronavirus outbreak.

Earlier this week, the World Health Organization declared the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak a global public health emergency. More information about the virus and how to protect yourself is available on its website.

Related Forum: iPhone

Popular Stories

iPhone 18 Pro Rumored Colors

Apple Cutting Back 2026 Hardware Shipments Due to Memory Shortage

Monday August 10, 2026 11:38 am PDT by
Apple is scaling back its hardware shipment plans in 2026 due to DRAM shortages, Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo said today. Kuo made the comment in a longer piece disputing a recent report suggesting TSMC has $1 billion of unpackaged processors waiting on memory chips that Apple has been unable to secure. Kuo said Apple plans processor production at least three months in advance based on the...
iPhone 18 Pro Deep Red Feature

iPhone 18 Pro Launching Next Month With These 12 New Features

Sunday August 9, 2026 1:45 pm PDT by
It is now August, and that means the iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max are just a month away. The devices are expected to look similar to the iPhone 17 Pro and iPhone 17 Pro Max, but there will still be many year-over-year changes, with rumored features including a smaller Dynamic Island, 5G via satellite, and more. Apple is expected to unveil the iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, and a...
Apple Skipping iPhone 18 This Year

Apple Skipping iPhone 18 Launch This Year

Wednesday August 12, 2026 6:59 am PDT by
Apple supplier Pegatron today indirectly confirmed that the standard iPhone 18 model will not be released until next year, according to a new report. Pegatron held an earnings call for the second quarter of 2026 today. On the call, Taiwan's Economic Daily News said Pegatron indicated that one of its customers will be changing its usual smartphone shipment schedule. As widely expected, the...

Top Rated Comments

dannyyankou Avatar
85 months ago
Reminder that the flu kills 36,000 Americans every year.
Score: 15 Votes (Like | Disagree)
85 months ago

Reminder that the flu kills 36,000 Americans every year.
Reminder that the WHO doesn't declare a global emergency for the normal flu and China doesn't normally quarantine cities of 36 million (while building two hospitals on site) for the normal flu either. That stat means nothing as well without comparing survival rates among those affected, of which the coronavirus is (currently) around 6-10x more lethal. You're also comparing an entire years stats to roughly a month.

I keep seeing this stat posted but I'll trust the scientists, epidemiologists and those in power at the WHO/CDC clearly stating this is a problem over internet commenters.
Score: 12 Votes (Like | Disagree)
MacLawyer Avatar
85 months ago
This is a terrible development for victims and their families. I can wait a bit for iPhone SE. Get better folks.
Score: 11 Votes (Like | Disagree)
ryanwarsaw Avatar
85 months ago

Worst case scenario for AAPL:

NO 2020 iPhones are produced in China this year.

If that happens, the stock will drop by more than 2/3, & trade under $100/share.
I just closed my entire position on AAPL based on your post. I shall wait until the stock goes below $100 before jumping back in.
Score: 10 Votes (Like | Disagree)
85 months ago
with the extremely close living quarters in the dorms at some assembly places, I suspect we haven't even begun to see the impact of this horrible scourge
Score: 6 Votes (Like | Disagree)
85 months ago

Reminder that the flu kills 36,000 Americans every year.
typically at least one American per year is shot by a dog. I’m not sure how this is relevant but just thought you could use the reminder.
Score: 4 Votes (Like | Disagree)