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iPhone Shipments Expected to Rise to 71.5 Million Units in Q4 2014, Drop to 49.4 Million Units in Q1 2015

Shipments of Apple's iPhone are expected to surge to 71.5 million units in Q4 2014 before the company decreases shipments to an estimated 49.4 million units in Q1 2015, according to a new report from KGI Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo. The analyst estimates that the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus will account for nearly 57 million of the fourth-quarter number and that the iPhone 5c and iPhone 4S will experience quarter-over-quarter growth in Q1 2015 before Apple ceases production of both phones later in the year.

iphone6_6plus_laying_down
Kuo notes that he expects shipments of the iPhone 6 to outnumber shipments of the iPhone 6 Plus by a 2:1 ratio:
We attribute the shortage of iPhone 6 Plus partly to less smooth production than iPhone 6. Moreover, while iPhone 6 Plus attracted greater attention when it was launched, we think more consumers will prefer iPhone 6 as they can operate the handset with one hand. Eventually, iPhone 6 shipments will outperform those of the iPhone 6 Plus model.
Sales of the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus topped ten million during the launch weekend for both devices, with the larger model seeing supply constraints. However, shipping times for the iPhone 6 Plus improved last week, with the 16GB model showing a shipping estimate of 7 to 10 days and the 64GB model showing an estimate of 2 to 3 weeks. A survey of U.S. customers done by Consumer Intelligence Research Partners (CIRP) earlier this month also noted that U.S. customers are favoring the iPhone 6 over the iPhone 6 Plus by a 3:1 ratio.

Update: This article initially stated the 71.5 million estimate was for iPhone 6 and 6 Plus sales when it is actually for all iPhone models.

Related Roundup: iPhone 6s
Tags: KGI Securities, Ming-Chi Kuo
Buyer's Guide: iPhone (Caution)


Top Rated Comments

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22 months ago

Steve Jobs would have never allowed these iPhone screen sizes.


This complaint is about a year late. And yes he would have. Steve Jobs said whatever he thought people wanted to hear, regardless of whether what he said was true or not. He had absolutely no problem contradicting himself later, be it five years or five weeks.
Rating: 16 Votes
22 months ago

Steve Jobs would have never allowed these iPhone screen sizes.


Well I'm glad Tim Cook's now in charge, then.
Rating: 11 Votes
22 months ago
Steve Jobs would have never allowed these iPhone screen sizes.
Rating: 9 Votes
22 months ago
"Ming Chi Kuo farted, revises iPhone estimates by single unit"
-Front Page
Rating: 6 Votes
22 months ago
Is that the iPhone 6 Plus that Ming Chi Kuo said was going to be delayed until 2015 due to 'production issues'. Either Apple have perfected time travel technology and are importing phones from the future or Kuo is a terrible analyst.
Rating: 5 Votes
22 months ago
Weird

iPhone 4S is still in production? This is surprising.
Rating: 4 Votes
22 months ago
Doom baby doom! Complete and utter doom.
Rating: 4 Votes
22 months ago
After initially being skeptical of the iPhone 6 Plus, there's no way I will go back to a smaller phone.

A lot of phones, and for good reason - these are the best iPhones / Phones ever made.
Rating: 4 Votes
22 months ago

Steve Jobs would have never allowed these iPhone screen sizes.


Who cares ?
Rating: 2 Votes
22 months ago

These numbers are astronomical . How can you manufacture so much. 10m in the weekend. To put things into perspective, Nintendo still didn't sell 10m units of Wii U even after 2 YEARS of launch. The Wii U is even cheaper than an iphone.

Not sure how Apple can manufacture so much in so little time, with a constant guaranteed quality. To do this, I guess Apple already knows exactly what they will build in January so they do all the orderings and manufacturing until the release in October. That means by next January they know how the iphone 6s is exactly going to be.


Where can I get a subsidized Wii U?
Rating: 2 Votes

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